Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 4
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INS
2 - 9
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
5 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
LAR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
DUN
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |