Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COL
4 - 2
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIS
2 - 0
DUN
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 3
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |