Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LAR
1 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2002 |
INS
3 - 0
LIM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
INS
4 - 1
ARC
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
INS
7 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
BAL
2 - 3
DUN
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIM
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2002 |
LAR
0 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |