Institute vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INS
5 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 5
INS
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
GLE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INS
6 - 2
COA
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 1
DON
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DON
6 - 1
COA
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 0
DON
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
LCE
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |