Institute vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
LIM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
INS
3 - 2
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 0
INS
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POR
5 - 2
DON
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |