Institute vs Dollingstown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
LIN
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Dollingstown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DOL
4 - 0
BMF
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DOL
4 - 3
TOB
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DOL
0 - 1
WAK
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |