Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
CLI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 3
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |