Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
INS
2 - 3
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 2
CRU
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 3
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |