Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
WAR
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |