Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
INS
0 - 0
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CLI
0 - 1
COL
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
LAR
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
GLE
3 - 0
COL
37%
24%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |