Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
COL
3 - 0
LAR
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 4
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COL
4 - 2
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
4 - 1
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |