Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
INS
57%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
COL
0 - 4
LAR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CLI
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
COL
3 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 2
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |