Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
INS
3 - 0
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
LAR
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
LAR
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CLI
3 - 2
BAN
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
CLI
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |