Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BMF
0 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
BMF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
57%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |