Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 3
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CLI
2 - 0
DON
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 0
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 1
WAR
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |