Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 0
CLI
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
4 - 1
LIM
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
2 - 2
LIS
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |