NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 2-5
Institute vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PSN
0 - 1
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
INS
1 - 0
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
4 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
GLE
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARD
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |