Institute vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
INS
1 - 2
WAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 4
INS
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
INS
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
HAR
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
COA
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |