Institute vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
INS
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
INS
0 - 1
DON
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
DON
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARD
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |