Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
DUN
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
KRF
85%
12%
4%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 3
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
RRF
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 2
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
LOU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIM
3 - 1
BAN
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 5
GLE
9%
16%
75%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 1
BAN
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 3
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |