Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BMF
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
LOU
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAN
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
LIM
39%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DER
0 - 0
BAN
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 5
BAN
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |