Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 0
INS
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
GLE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 4
LIS
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
3 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CLI
3 - 2
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |