Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 1
INS
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAN
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
BAN
3 - 0
LIM
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAN
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |