Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
WAR
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
INS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
15%
18%
68%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |