Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
HAR
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 2
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |