Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
5 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CLI
5 - 1
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
POR
28%
23%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
CRU
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |