Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
INS
1 - 4
CLI
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BMF
0 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
BMF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
INS
57%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
COL
3 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +2 |