Institute vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 4
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 4
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BAL
3 - 1
OMA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 3
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |