Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 7
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
NEY
2 - 0
BAL
27%
23%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
AUN
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |