Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 4
INS
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
DER
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
INS
1 - 4
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
INS
3 - 1
KNO
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
PSN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
4 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARC
3 - 1
BAL
32%
23%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |