Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 3
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
INS
1 - 1
HAR
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
4 - 3
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
3 - 2
NEY
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
3 - 1
DUN
28%
25%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 3
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |