Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
INS
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BRF
0 - 1
INS
29%
21%
50%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
INS
4 - 0
NEY
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
BAN
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUN
1 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 4
COL
14%
18%
68%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 3
ARC
53%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |