Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
46
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
INS
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
AUN
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEY
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |