Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARD
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |