Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
DUN
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
KNO
2 - 2
INS
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
ARD
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
INS
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 3
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |