NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 4-5
Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
31%
25%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
INS
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
WAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |