Institute vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ARC
2 - 1
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
POR
1 - 3
INS
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
TOB
2 - 3
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 0
ARD
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
MOY
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
MOY
4 - 0
BAL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |