Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 6
AUN
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
ARD
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
4 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 3
NEY
44%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 3
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |