Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
4 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 3
CLI
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARC
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
ARC
3 - 0
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 3
ARC
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
LIM
3 - 0
ARC
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |