Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
BAL
2 - 5
INS
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
INS
0 - 0
LIM
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 3
INS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
ARC
3 - 4
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 2
ARC
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ARC
1 - 3
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 1
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
ARD
43%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |