Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
2 - 1
INS
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
AUN
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
INS
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
4 - 1
ARD
35%
23%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARD
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 0
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |