Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
INS
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
4 - 0
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AUN
2 - 2
INS
67%
18%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 2
AUN
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 4
CLI
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |