Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
INS
4 - 3
PSN
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
DUN
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 2
INS
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
ARD
4 - 0
DOL
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARD
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
3 - 0
QUB
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |