Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
INS
6 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INS
3 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 3
CLI
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
ARD
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
WAR
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |