Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TOB
2 - 6
INS
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
INS
2 - 3
COA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
ARD
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ARD
5 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ARD
1 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 4
ARD
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TOB
0 - 2
ARD
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |