Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
NEW
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARD
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAN
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ARD
1 - 2
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |