Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
INS
1 - 3
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
5 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 3
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
ARD
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARD
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 2
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARD
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BMF
1 - 1
ARD
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |