Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
INS
4 - 0
ARC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ARD
1 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ARD
0 - 1
GLE
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
CLI
0 - 1
ARD
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 5
COL
24%
24%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
LAR
3 - 1
ARD
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |