Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 1
INS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
POR
4 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 2
CRU
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARD
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARD
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |