Institute vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 4
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ARD
1 - 1
LAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
ARD
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 2
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
3 - 0
ARD
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |